Bree vs Overpelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 4
BRE
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
DEK
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 0
BRE
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
6 - 1
SIN
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OVE
2 - 2
TON
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OVE
1 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OVE
4 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HER
2 - 6
OVE
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
OVE
2 - 2
AVE
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |