Bree vs Lutlommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 5
DEK
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
EXV
4 - 0
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
5 - 0
HER
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SIN
3 - 4
BRE
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
LUT
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
LUT
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 3
TON
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 0
OOS
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +4 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HEU
2 - 1
LUT
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |