Second Division Round 7

Brechin City vs Stranraer analysis

Brechin City Stranraer
52 ELO 47
18% Tilt 10%
2594º General ELO ranking 5023º
29º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
66.6%
Brechin City
18.2%
Draw
15.3%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
Brechin City
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brechin City
-5%
+2%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Brechin City
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
45%
24%
31%
52 50 2 0
14 Sep. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
46%
23%
31%
53 56 3 -1
31 Aug. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
42%
25%
33%
54 51 3 -1
24 Aug. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
57%
21%
21%
53 51 2 +1
17 Aug. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
73%
16%
11%
53 43 10 0

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2013
HIB
Hibernian FC
5 - 3
Stranraer
STR
79%
15%
7%
47 70 23 0
21 Sep. 2013
STR
Stranraer
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
68%
17%
15%
46 42 4 +1
14 Sep. 2013
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 2
Stranraer
STR
58%
21%
22%
47 46 1 -1
31 Aug. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
71%
18%
12%
48 56 8 -1
27 Aug. 2013
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Ross County FC
ROS
16%
21%
64%
47 71 24 +1