Brea vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SDB
4 - 1
CFB
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CFB
3 - 2
CAL
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
CFB
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 0
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDM
0 - 0
CFB
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDD
1 - 0
CEL
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UDV
2 - 2
CEL
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
CDU
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |