Bray Wanderers vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
DUN
5 - 0
BRW
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
CAO
4 - 0
BRW
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
BRW
2 - 2
WAT
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
BRW
1 - 3
BOH
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
CAO
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
SHR
3 - 0
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
STP
5 - 2
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
SLR
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 1
STP
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |