Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
7º
37
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LON
2 - 2
BRW
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BRW
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
COB
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 1
BRW
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 2
TRE
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 1
ATH
29%
23%
47%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 0
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 1
KEF
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
COB
5 - 1
FIN
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |