Premier League round 11

Bray Wanderers vs Dundalk analysis

Bray Wanderers Dundalk
56 ELO 80
15% Tilt 3.5%
2858º General ELO ranking 806º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.4%
Bray Wanderers
19.8%
Draw
68.8%
Dundalk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
Bray Wanderers
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.8%
Win probability
Dundalk
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bray Wanderers
+13%
+4%
Dundalk

ELO progression

Bray Wanderers
Dundalk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2018
STP
St Patrick's
5 - 0
Bray Wanderers
BRW
63%
22%
16%
57 64 7 0
30 Mar. 2018
BRW
Bray Wanderers
0 - 4
Cork City
CAO
21%
26%
53%
58 76 18 -1
26 Mar. 2018
BRW
Bray Wanderers
0 - 3
Shelbourne
SHE
50%
23%
27%
59 59 0 -1
23 Mar. 2018
BOH
Bohemian FC
2 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
50%
26%
24%
60 63 3 -1
16 Mar. 2018
DER
Derry City
5 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
62%
22%
16%
61 68 7 -1

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2018
STP
St Patrick's
4 - 4
Dundalk
DUN
20%
21%
59%
80 65 15 0
06 Apr. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 1
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
66%
21%
14%
80 70 10 0
30 Mar. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
3 - 0
Bohemian FC
BOH
70%
19%
11%
76 64 12 +4
24 Mar. 2018
SLR
Sligo Rovers
0 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
22%
25%
53%
76 63 13 0
16 Mar. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
1 - 0
Waterford United
WAT
69%
20%
12%
76 64 12 0