Paulista B First stage Round 9

Brasilis vs Itapirense analysis

Brasilis Itapirense
27 ELO 40
-3.2% Tilt -9.9%
38431º General ELO ranking 6939º
1190º Country ELO ranking 282º
ELO win probability
23%
Brasilis
21.4%
Draw
55.5%
Itapirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Brasilis
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.5%
Win probability
Itapirense
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Brasilis
Itapirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brasilis
Brasilis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2020
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Brasilis
BFC
63%
20%
17%
26 39 13 0
07 Nov. 2020
BFC
Brasilis
4 - 2
Amparo
AMP
22%
21%
56%
23 37 14 +3
04 Nov. 2020
GUA
Guarulhos
3 - 1
Brasilis
BFC
66%
19%
16%
24 38 14 -1
27 Oct. 2020
ITA
Itapirense
0 - 0
Brasilis
BFC
66%
19%
15%
23 40 17 +1
24 Oct. 2020
BFC
Brasilis
2 - 2
Flamengo SP
FLA
17%
20%
63%
22 43 21 +1

Matches

Itapirense
Itapirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2020
ITA
Itapirense
2 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
42%
26%
32%
40 40 0 0
04 Nov. 2020
AMP
Amparo
1 - 3
Itapirense
ITA
42%
23%
35%
38 38 0 +2
01 Nov. 2020
GUA
Guarulhos
1 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
39%
25%
37%
39 37 2 -1
27 Oct. 2020
ITA
Itapirense
0 - 0
Brasilis
BFC
66%
19%
15%
40 23 17 -1
20 Oct. 2020
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
45%
26%
29%
40 42 2 0