Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 4-1
Brasiliense vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
BRA
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRA
22%
29%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
REA
2 - 2
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
BRA
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
REA
1 - 2
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 2
REA
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |