Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 1-0
Brasiliense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
CON
0 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
BRA
3 - 2
NAU
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 0
VAS
7%
17%
77%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 1
BRA
95%
4%
1%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
CON
0 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CON
4 - 0
ASA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
ASA
2 - 1
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
CON
4 - 1
JUA
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
JUA
1 - 1
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |