Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 3
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 4
PAR
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 3
ATM
24%
23%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CEI
1 - 2
GAM
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 2
CEI
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 3
CEI
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
4 - 2
DOM
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |