Brasília vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 0
BRA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 4
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
LUZ
48%
27%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 0
PLA
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUZ
20%
25%
56%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 0
SOB
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |