Brasil U23 vs Ecuador U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
13%
19%
68%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 2
ECU
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 1
VEN
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
62%
20%
19%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
58%
20%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |