Brazil U20s vs Uruguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
PRY
0 - 2
BRA
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
PRY
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 4
URY
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
URY
2 - 1
ECU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
URY
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
URY
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |