Sudamericano Sub 17 Final Stage Round 2

Brasil U17 vs Paraguay U17 analysis

Brasil U17 Paraguay U17
49 ELO 46
1.2% Tilt 0.2%
4852º General ELO ranking 6320º
155º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Brasil U17
22.6%
Draw
29.6%
Paraguay U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Brasil U17
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.6%
Win probability
Paraguay U17
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brasil U17
+46%
-23%
Paraguay U17

ELO progression

Brasil U17
Paraguay U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brasil U17
Brasil U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2023
BRA
Brasil U17
2 - 1
Venezuela U17
VEN
77%
15%
9%
48 14 34 0
08 Apr. 2023
URU
Uruguay U17
0 - 3
Brasil U17
BRA
44%
23%
33%
47 47 0 +1
04 Apr. 2023
BRA
Brasil U17
3 - 1
Colombia U17
COL
43%
23%
34%
46 46 0 +1
01 Apr. 2023
BRA
Brasil U17
3 - 0
Chile U17
CHI
60%
20%
20%
45 37 8 +1
31 Mar. 2023
ECU
Ecuador U17
2 - 2
Brasil U17
BRA
49%
22%
29%
45 47 2 0

Matches

Paraguay U17
Paraguay U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2023
ECU
Ecuador U17
3 - 1
Paraguay U17
PAR
44%
23%
33%
48 47 1 0
09 Apr. 2023
ARG
Argentina U17
1 - 1
Paraguay U17
PAR
21%
21%
58%
48 36 12 0
06 Apr. 2023
PAR
Paraguay U17
3 - 1
Bolivia U17
BOL
78%
14%
8%
48 14 34 0
05 Apr. 2023
PAR
Paraguay U17
4 - 0
Perú U17
PER
45%
23%
32%
47 46 1 +1
02 Apr. 2023
VEN
Venezuela U17
1 - 1
Paraguay U17
PAR
8%
13%
78%
47 7 40 0