Brasil Farroupilha vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ECA
1 - 0
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAN
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ISM
0 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAN
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
TUP
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
URS
2 - 3
GLO
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
URS
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
URS
1 - 1
YPI
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAC
1 - 0
URS
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
URS
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |