Brann II vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
10º
27
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 57 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 40 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 36 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 34 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
SSK
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
JER
2 - 0
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SSK
2 - 1
JER
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |