Braganca vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
AMA
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 3
TIR
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
TIR
14%
21%
65%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |