Braganca vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
3 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEV
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
PEV
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
AMA
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
SMA
37%
28%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |