Bowers and Pitsea vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 2
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
COR
0 - 1
BOW
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOW
1 - 2
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
BOW
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BIS
2 - 2
BOW
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
LEA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 1
HOR
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 2
AVE
36%
25%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 1
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 0
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |