Bourges 18 vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UJA
2 - 1
BOU
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
DRO
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AVO
4 - 2
BOU
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BOU
6 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 0
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
QUE
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 1
CAE
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UJA
3 - 0
CAE
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 3
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LEH
3 - 3
CAE
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |