US Boulogne II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOU
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 1
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ESW
2 - 0
BOU
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 1
DIE
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
AUL
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 6
ARR
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
AIL
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IRI
1 - 2
ARR
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |