Botswana Defence Force XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
GAL
29%
23%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 0
BOT
47%
24%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
TAF
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
SUA
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HGH
2 - 0
BOT
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SES
3 - 1
HGH
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 0
SES
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SES
1 - 2
VTM
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORA
3 - 0
SES
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SES
3 - 2
GAB
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |