Botswana Defence Force XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 0
BOT
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MIS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 1
UFS
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -12 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +12 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SES
0 - 0
BLF
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
TOW
0 - 1
SES
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SES
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 2
SES
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SES
1 - 0
TAF
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -3 |