Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
PRI
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SES
40%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
EXT
1 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
GAL
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 6
GAL
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 1
BOT
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOT
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOW
24%
22%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SES
2 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |