Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CEN
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GAB
1 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 2
CEN
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
GAB
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 2
TOW
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
WON
2 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |