Botsuana vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botsuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 0
BWA
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BWA
0 - 0
ZWE
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BWA
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NER
1 - 1
BWA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
0 - 0
BWA
80%
14%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 0
GIN
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
GIN
0 - 0
ZAF
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GIN
1 - 1
BFA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GIN
1 - 4
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 2
GIN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |