A PFG Round 11

Botev Vratsa vs Dunav Ruse analysis

Botev Vratsa Dunav Ruse
72 ELO 76
18% Tilt 10.3%
2909º General ELO ranking 2962º
20º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Botev Vratsa
22.9%
Draw
18.3%
Dunav Ruse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
Dunav Ruse
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botev Vratsa
+20%
+26%
Dunav Ruse

ELO progression

Botev Vratsa
Dunav Ruse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 1975
AKA
Akademik Sofia
2 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
22%
19%
73 77 4 0
04 Dec. 1975
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
53%
24%
23%
72 71 1 +1
04 Dec. 1975
BVR
Botev Vratsa
1 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
69%
19%
12%
73 66 7 -1
04 Dec. 1975
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 0
Beroe
BER
59%
23%
18%
72 74 2 +1
04 Dec. 1975
BVR
Botev Vratsa
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
58%
23%
18%
73 76 3 -1

Matches

Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
0 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
48%
27%
25%
76 78 2 0
04 Dec. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
1 - 0
CSKA Sofia
CSK
46%
28%
27%
75 79 4 +1
04 Dec. 1975
SLI
Sliven
3 - 0
Dunav Ruse
DUN
48%
26%
26%
76 72 4 -1
04 Dec. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
2 - 2
Levski Sofia
LSO
42%
27%
31%
75 79 4 +1
04 Dec. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
2 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
55%
25%
20%
76 69 7 -1