Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
14º
11º
70
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 0
BVR
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BVR
0 - 0
ARK
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 2
BVR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BVR
0 - 4
LUD
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
HEB
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 1
OFK
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
SEP
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |