A PFG Normal Season Round 15

Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia analysis

Botev Vratsa CSKA Sofia
65 ELO 79
-6% Tilt 11.2%
3173º General ELO ranking 957º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.3%
Botev Vratsa
28.2%
Draw
51.4%
CSKA Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
51.4%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botev Vratsa
+29%
+16%
CSKA Sofia

Points and table prediction

Botev Vratsa
Their league position
CSKA Sofia
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
14º
11º
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
74
74
100%
CSKA Sofia
70
71
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
59
59
100%
Levski Sofia
54
54
100%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50
50
100%
Slavia Sofia
49
49
100%
Arda Kardzhali
42
42
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38
38
100%
Botev Plovdiv
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Botev Vratsa
11º
28
29
11º
100%
Beroe
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Spartak Varna
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2022
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
47%
26%
28%
65 70 5 0
09 Oct. 2022
BVR
Botev Vratsa
0 - 0
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
29%
29%
42%
65 73 8 0
30 Sep. 2022
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
24%
17%
66 79 13 -1
16 Sep. 2022
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
0 - 2
Botev Vratsa
BVR
30%
26%
44%
65 60 5 +1
11 Sep. 2022
BVR
Botev Vratsa
0 - 4
Ludogorets
LUD
17%
23%
60%
66 79 13 -1

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2022
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
41%
27%
32%
79 74 5 0
15 Oct. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
4 - 0
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
71%
19%
10%
78 60 18 +1
10 Oct. 2022
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
54%
24%
22%
78 78 0 0
03 Oct. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
67%
22%
11%
78 65 13 0
25 Sep. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
63%
21%
16%
79 68 11 -1