Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
15º
34
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
BVR
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
CSK
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAF
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
CSK
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |