Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
43.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SSO
3 - 2
BVR
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BVR
1 - 0
SVE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BVR
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
BVR
3 - 1
BOT
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 2
BVR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
3 - 1
LSO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CVA
1 - 0
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FKM
1 - 1
CVA
29%
30%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
KAL
72%
20%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |