Botafogo SP vs Vasco da Gama AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.8%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.4%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 2
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |