Paulista A1 Round 8

Botafogo SP vs Santos FC analysis

Botafogo SP Santos FC
62 ELO 86
-0.3% Tilt -3.9%
743º General ELO ranking 121º
40º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.5%
Botafogo SP
23.4%
Draw
61.1%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
Botafogo SP
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.1%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo SP
-2%
-8%
Santos FC

ELO progression

Botafogo SP
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2015
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
2 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
44%
25%
31%
63 61 2 0
22 Feb. 2015
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
44%
25%
30%
63 63 0 0
14 Feb. 2015
COR
Corinthians
2 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
73%
19%
8%
63 87 24 0
11 Feb. 2015
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
São Bento
SAO
49%
25%
27%
63 62 1 0
08 Feb. 2015
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
27%
25%
48%
63 75 12 0

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2015
SAN
Santos FC
4 - 2
Linense CA
LIN
81%
14%
5%
86 58 28 0
22 Feb. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
18%
25%
57%
86 64 22 0
14 Feb. 2015
SAO
São Bernardo FC
0 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
17%
24%
60%
86 64 22 0
12 Feb. 2015
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
49%
25%
27%
86 85 1 0
08 Feb. 2015
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
RB Brasil
RBB
79%
15%
6%
85 62 23 +1