Botafogo SP vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
XVD
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AME
3 - 0
FLA
51%
22%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
4 - 1
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 1
ARN
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |