Botafogo SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
MIR
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
3 - 4
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 5
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |