Botafogo vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
4 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
5 - 2
AUD
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
3 - 1
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |