Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
CCP
63%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SCI
0 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
SCI
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 4
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |