Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 1
GOI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 2
BOT
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 3
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 2
VAS
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
COT
1 - 4
SAO
27%
25%
49%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
SCI
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |