Botafogo vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 2
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
MAD
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAD
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |