Botafogo vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
REM
1 - 1
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
COT
0 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 1
AME
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
AME
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
VAS
3 - 0
AME
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
BAH
0 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |