Botafogo vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
29%
28%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
LUV
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
CRI
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 2
ABC
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 3
BAH
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ABC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 4
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |