Série C Temporada Regular round 11

Botafogo PB vs Atlético Cearense analysis

Botafogo PB Atlético Cearense
64 ELO 43
-7.6% Tilt -22.7%
967º General ELO ranking 5119º
46º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
70.3%
Botafogo PB
19.2%
Draw
10.5%
Atlético Cearense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
Atlético Cearense
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo PB
-9%
-30%
Atlético Cearense

ELO progression

Botafogo PB
Atlético Cearense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2022
PAY
Paysandu
2 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
47%
28%
25%
64 63 1 0
04 Jun. 2022
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
ABC
ABC
49%
26%
25%
64 60 4 0
29 May. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
48%
27%
25%
63 61 2 +1
26 May. 2022
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Campinense
CAM
59%
25%
16%
63 57 6 0
21 May. 2022
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
Botafogo PB
BOT
28%
28%
44%
64 56 8 -1

Matches

Atlético Cearense
Atlético Cearense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2022
UNI
Atlético Cearense
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
12%
26%
62%
43 67 24 0
03 Jun. 2022
FLO
Floresta EC
2 - 3
Atlético Cearense
UNI
66%
20%
14%
41 51 10 +2
28 May. 2022
ECS
EC São José
1 - 1
Atlético Cearense
UNI
70%
19%
10%
40 61 21 +1
21 May. 2022
UNI
Atlético Cearense
0 - 1
ABC
ABC
17%
23%
61%
41 58 17 -1
14 May. 2022
ALT
Altos
0 - 1
Atlético Cearense
UNI
70%
18%
11%
39 51 12 +2