Paraibano . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
4 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
5 - 0
DPB
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 4
ATM
15%
23%
63%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
0 - 2
SOU
24%
21%
54%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
SPB
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |