Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 1
PER
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 2
SPB
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOT
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 2
SDJ
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OPE
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OPE
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SAN
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
CON
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |