Botafogo PB vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
23%
29%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAY
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
REM
0 - 0
BOT
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
BOT
29%
28%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
FER
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
FER
0 - 2
PAY
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 0
FER
32%
29%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |