Botafogo PB vs AD Picuiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 1
CAM
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
2 - 1
BOT
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
POM
1 - 0
BOT
5%
14%
81%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AUT
0 - 1
BOT
7%
19%
74%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
AD Picuiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 6
TRE
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 2
AUT
14%
18%
67%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
SER
8 - 0
ADP
74%
16%
11%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
0 - 1
POM
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
6 - 0
ADP
70%
19%
11%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |