Liga Brasileña Sub 20 Round 16

Botafogo U20 vs Grêmio U20 analysis

Botafogo U20 Grêmio U20
46 ELO 43
-2.5% Tilt -3.3%
5954º General ELO ranking 5565º
240º Country ELO ranking 205º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Botafogo U20
24.1%
Draw
30.5%
Grêmio U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Botafogo U20
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
Grêmio U20
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo U20
-9%
-46%
Grêmio U20

ELO progression

Botafogo U20
Grêmio U20
Cruzeiro U20
Vasco Da Gama U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo U20
Botafogo U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2025
BOT
Botafogo U20
1 - 2
Athlético PR U20
ATL
36%
25%
39%
46 49 3 0
18 Jun. 2025
CUI
Cuiabá U20
3 - 0
Botafogo U20
BOT
29%
25%
46%
48 36 12 -2
12 Jun. 2025
BOT
Botafogo U20
4 - 1
Atlético GO U20
ATL
65%
20%
15%
47 30 17 +1
01 Jun. 2025
VAS
Vasco Da Gama U20
4 - 1
Botafogo U20
BOT
39%
24%
37%
49 46 3 -2
29 May. 2025
BOT
Botafogo U20
3 - 2
Fortaleza U20
FOR
50%
24%
26%
48 45 3 +1

Matches

Grêmio U20
Grêmio U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2025
GRE
Grêmio U20
2 - 1
Internacional U20
INT
60%
22%
19%
44 40 4 0
18 Jun. 2025
BAH
Bahia U20
1 - 2
Grêmio U20
GRE
39%
25%
36%
43 42 1 +1
11 Jun. 2025
CRU
Cruzeiro U20
5 - 1
Grêmio U20
GRE
57%
22%
21%
44 49 5 -1
28 May. 2025
GRE
Grêmio U20
2 - 0
Atlético GO U20
ATL
74%
15%
12%
44 31 13 0
22 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense U20
2 - 1
Grêmio U20
GRE
37%
26%
37%
44 43 1 0