Botafogo ES vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
20%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 3
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
REA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DES
3 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
DES
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 3
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAS
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
VIT
47%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |