Botafogo ES vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 3
VIT
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
20%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 3
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 1
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 3
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |