Botafogo DF vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BSE
4 - 2
BDF
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
LEG
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
BDF
61%
20%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 1
BDF
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 3
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 3
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CEI
5 - 4
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 3
BSE
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |